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coinback / Experiment result

E-19. Master architecture v1.0 + E-17A directionality gate (2026-07-15)

36 preregistered directionality runs: the best had 2.97 signals a day and +0.00753% before costs, negative after; Stage 1 rejected.

Original record: 2026-07-15 · Migrated: 2026-10-27 · Translated from Korean: 2026-10-27
A historical record, not rerun in this migration.

The figures, hypotheses and verdicts of the time are preserved. A past positive result or candidate mention does not mean validated profitability today or a live-trading recommendation. Validation periods that were already used are not treated as new independent validation.

This is an English translation of a preserved Korean original. It describes conditions at the time of writing, not current provider specifications, costs or regulations. Phrases in the original about blocking or avoiding losses interpret simulated experiments and are not realized account results. Statistical trial counts differ from the number of independent strategies or CSV rows.

E-19. Master architecture v1.0 + E-17A directionality gate (2026-07-15)

  • Foundation: 36 trials registered in reports/experiment_registry.sqlite before execution, storing code commit/dirty, data SHA-256, period, costs/fill/latency, parameters, metrics and discard reasons. Every trial COMPLETED; 0 missing or left RUNNING.
  • Fill foundation: F0 touch / F1 trade-through / F2 risk-averse queue; partial fills, cancel race, post-only, OCO, reduce-only and position reconcile separated into an event core. Same-bar ambiguity in the OHLCV engine is made explicit with counts and a worst-case policy.
  • Direction experiment: HTF 1h/4h, LTF 1m/5m, 3 trend definitions, 3 neighbouring lookbacks = 36 runs. Next-bar market entry and a 12-bar hold keep execution alpha out of the measurement.
  • Result: preliminary train pass 0. The best, 5m/1h structure/lookback20, traded 2.97 times per day, 2,611 signals, +0.00753%/signal before costs, but -0.19247% after baseline costs and -0.29247% after 1.5x costs. The 1m combinations mostly traded 17~24 times per day, exceeding even the target frequency.
  • Verdict D-025: Stage 1 rejected, val/test not opened, E-17B~H not run. The system did not find a strategy; it blocked a path that would have dressed up weak directionality with limit-order assumptions.

Source and migration evidence

Source: backtest/docs/experiment-log.md#E-19

Original SHA-256: 069c4aaaf53a20930ca8d94ba6365b4ce2b6bc560171d662a4c179ea55a6857c

Raw data and account information are not part of the public package. The original results do not replace statistical or scientific revalidation. The English text is a translation; numbers, tables and charts are carried over unchanged.